Monthly Archives: May 2017

Design: The Ultimate Test of Theory

Kurt Lewin’s quote that “nothing is more practical than a good theory” has been repeated so often that it has become trite. However, few appreciate the complementary implication of this truism. That is, that “the strongest test of a theory … Continue reading

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Not My Last Lecture

As of May 1st I have retired from Wright State University. I accepted an early retirement incentive that was offered due to severe economic conditions at the university. I am not at all ready to retire, but I am eager … Continue reading

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Toward an Ecological Theory of Rationality: Debunking the hot hand “illusion”

Taleri Hammack, Jehengar Cooper, John M. Flach & Joseph Houpt ABSTRACT This paper explores the ‘hot hand illusion’ from the perspective of ecological rationality. Monte Carlo simulations were used to test the sensitivity of typical tests for randomness to plausible … Continue reading

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Decisionmaking in Practice: The Dynamics of Muddling Through

Abstract An alternative to conventional models that treat decisions as open-loop independent choices is presented. The alterative model is based on observations of work situations such as healthcare, where decisionmaking is more typically a closed-loop, dynamic, problem-solving process. The article … Continue reading

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